Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.008306 0.009730 0.011432 0.013646 0.016500 0.020125 0.025196
2025-10-19 0.006370 0.008021 0.010214 0.013442 0.018269 0.025587 0.038363
2025-10-26 0.005402 0.007130 0.009591 0.013545 0.020161 0.031754 0.056540
2025-11-02 0.004673 0.006374 0.008922 0.013291 0.021273 0.037061 0.077762
2025-11-09 0.004033 0.005624 0.008095 0.012530 0.021174 0.039962 0.096744
2025-11-16 0.003567 0.005069 0.007469 0.011951 0.021204 0.043156 0.120987
2025-11-23 0.003318 0.004815 0.007289 0.012127 0.022829 0.051179 0.176656
2025-11-30 0.003048 0.004492 0.006938 0.011893 0.023461 0.057020 0.238950
2025-12-07 0.002789 0.004160 0.006526 0.011451 0.023458 0.061024 0.306348
2025-12-14 0.002601 0.003928 0.006264 0.011272 0.024072 0.067719 0.428381
2025-12-21 0.002514 0.003860 0.006295 0.011731 0.026585 0.084186 0.802511
2025-12-28 0.002482 0.003883 0.006500 0.012629 0.030817 0.114436 2.242167
2026-01-04 0.002375 0.003776 0.006464 0.013022 0.033981 0.147745 8.366843
2026-01-11 0.002224 0.003574 0.006212 0.012836 0.035157 0.172840 39.083034
2026-01-18 0.002114 0.003439 0.006080 0.012934 0.037516 0.215705 69045.602817
2026-01-25 0.001990 0.003264 0.005843 0.012696 0.038440 0.250709 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001843 0.003035 0.005462 0.011980 0.036988 0.256184 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001722 0.002848 0.005157 0.011436 0.036122 0.269004 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001661 0.002774 0.005099 0.011602 0.038722 0.347724 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001580 0.002655 0.004923 0.011381 0.039335 0.401463 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001493 0.002519 0.004696 0.010966 0.038746 0.430824 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001428 0.002423 0.004555 0.010797 0.039469 0.504069 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001403 0.002406 0.004597 0.011228 0.044008 0.770731 NaN